Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Bulgaria · 25
Rilski SportistHOME · -
77 : 872015.04.12 · 종료
Cherno MoreAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME66.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY33.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+66.7%
VALUE EDGE+66.7%
FAIR ODDS1.50
GRADEA
Rilski SportistAnalysis MetricsCherno More
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-1.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+6.42
171.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
163.58
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
71.4%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.2 / 15
Prediction separation14.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rilski Sportist
W · 136-70W · 88-72L · 91-83W · 58-77L · 83-88
Cherno More
L · 81-69W · 91-83W · 85-67W · 78-90W · 86-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020.01.05 | Cherno More | 93 : 96 | Rilski Sportist |
| 2019.11.02 | Rilski Sportist | 108 : 92 | Cherno More |
| 2015.05.27 | Cherno More | 92 : 88 | Rilski Sportist |
| 2015.05.24 | Rilski Sportist | 79 : 93 | Cherno More |
| 2015.04.12 | Rilski Sportist | 77 : 87 | Cherno More |
| 2015.02.02 | Rilski Sportist | 78 : 62 | Cherno More |
| 2014.04.12 | Cherno More | 79 : 86 | Rilski Sportist |
| 2014.01.27 | Cherno More | 93 : 72 | Rilski Sportist |
| 2013.11.24 | Rilski Sportist | 78 : 80 | Cherno More |