Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Bulgaria · 25
ChernomoretsHOME · -
77 : 892015.04.10 · 종료
Spartak PlevenAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME38.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+61.3%
VALUE EDGE+61.3%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADES
ChernomoretsAnalysis MetricsSpartak Pleven
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-17.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.25
165.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.58
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
5.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.5 / 15
Prediction separation9.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Chernomorets
L · 136-70L · 60-110L · 108-74L · 85-67L · 74-78
Spartak Pleven
L · 77-86L · 104-64L · 56-110L · 58-77L · 61-89
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020.01.19 | Chernomorets | 83 : 79 | Spartak Pleven |
| 2019.11.17 | Spartak Pleven | 96 : 91 | Chernomorets |
| 2015.04.10 | Chernomorets | 77 : 89 | Spartak Pleven |
| 2015.02.01 | Spartak Pleven | 82 : 90 | Chernomorets |
| 2014.11.23 | Chernomorets | 73 : 70 | Spartak Pleven |
| 2014.03.30 | Spartak Pleven | 78 : 85 | Chernomorets |
| 2014.01.12 | Spartak Pleven | 88 : 72 | Chernomorets |
| 2013.11.10 | Chernomorets | 53 : 60 | Spartak Pleven |