Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL Bulgaria · 23

BeroeHOME · -

104 : 642015.03.22 · 종료

Spartak PlevenAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME75.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY24.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100

AI PICK HOME 77.6% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +75.9%

VALUE EDGE+75.9%

FAIR ODDS1.32

GRADEA

BeroeAnalysis MetricsSpartak Pleven

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

+0.50 Point MarginHigher is better +0.25

179.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 152.58

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%

3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.6 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement3.8 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

75.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

24.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Beroe

L · 88-72L · 79-65L · 86-76W · 103-49L · 92-58

Spartak Pleven

L · 56-110L · 58-77L · 61-89L · 83-86L · 89-63

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2019.12.24	Spartak Pleven	76 : 102	Beroe
2019.10.20	Beroe	91 : 77	Spartak Pleven
2015.03.22	Beroe	104 : 64	Spartak Pleven
2014.11.09	Beroe	88 : 77	Spartak Pleven
2014.04.06	Spartak Pleven	95 : 83	Beroe
2014.01.19	Beroe	66 : 77	Spartak Pleven
2013.11.17	Spartak Pleven	98 : 73	Beroe