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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL Bulgaria · 21
BalkanHOME · -
79 : 652015.03.15 · 종료
BeroeAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME86.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY13.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK HOME 88.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +86.4%
VALUE EDGE+86.4%
FAIR ODDS1.16
GRADEA
BalkanAnalysis MetricsBeroe
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+2.83 Point MarginHigher is better +0.50
152.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 179.33
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
86.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
13.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Balkan
L · 90-75W · 61-89W · 83-88W · 105-68L · 75-74
Beroe
L · 86-76W · 103-49L · 92-58L · 84-91L · 66-73

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2020.01.12Beroe65 : 75Balkan
2019.11.10Balkan86 : 94Beroe
2015.03.15Balkan79 : 65Beroe
2014.12.30Balkan134 : 76Beroe
2014.10.26Beroe68 : 79Balkan
2014.04.23Beroe77 : 98Balkan
2014.02.16Balkan86 : 70Beroe
2013.12.16Beroe83 : 90Balkan