Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Bulgaria · 21
AcademicHOME · -
91 : 832015.03.15 · 종료
Rilski SportistAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME73.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+73.3%
VALUE EDGE+73.3%
FAIR ODDS1.36
GRADEB
AcademicAnalysis MetricsRilski Sportist
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-10.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.50
169.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
171.17
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Academic
W · 90-75W · 51-96L · 77-69W · 84-91W · 97-69
Rilski Sportist
W · 58-77L · 83-88W · 64-84W · 70-81W · 78-62
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019.12.22 | Academic | 72 : 106 | Rilski Sportist |
| 2019.10.20 | Rilski Sportist | 95 : 86 | Academic |
| 2015.03.15 | Academic | 91 : 83 | Rilski Sportist |
| 2014.12.30 | Rilski Sportist | 76 : 86 | Academic |
| 2014.10.27 | Academic | 105 : 91 | Rilski Sportist |
| 2014.04.23 | Rilski Sportist | 81 : 67 | Academic |
| 2014.02.16 | Rilski Sportist | 63 : 78 | Academic |
| 2013.12.15 | Academic | 92 : 87 | Rilski Sportist |