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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL Bulgaria · 19
Cherno MoreHOME · -
86 : 762015.02.28 · 종료
BeroeAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME76.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 77.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +76.7%
VALUE EDGE+76.7%
FAIR ODDS1.30
GRADES
Cherno MoreAnalysis MetricsBeroe
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+6.42 Point MarginHigher is better +0.50
163.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 179.33
80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
13.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 13.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
76.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
23.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cherno More
W · 89-63L · 78-62W · 75-74W · 68-85W · 113-68
Beroe
W · 103-49L · 92-58L · 84-91L · 66-73L · 134-76

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.03.13Cherno More88 : 84Beroe
2020.02.02Cherno More79 : 89Beroe
2019.12.02Beroe86 : 85Cherno More
2015.02.28Cherno More86 : 76Beroe
2014.12.14Cherno More101 : 78Beroe
2014.10.12Beroe83 : 72Cherno More
2014.03.23Beroe70 : 67Cherno More
2014.01.06Beroe90 : 110Cherno More
2013.11.03Cherno More106 : 69Beroe