Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Bulgaria · 12
Rilski SportistHOME · -
76 : 862014.12.30 · 종료
AcademicAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME33.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY66.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+66.9%
VALUE EDGE+66.9%
FAIR ODDS1.50
GRADEA
Rilski SportistAnalysis MetricsAcademic
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-1.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.00
171.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.00
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
9.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
9.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.0 / 15
Prediction separation14.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rilski Sportist
W · 69-91L · 120-90L · 84-91W · 105-75L · 87-72
Academic
W · 88-80W · 70-97W · 82-87W · 101-52W · 91-77
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019.12.22 | Academic | 72 : 106 | Rilski Sportist |
| 2019.10.20 | Rilski Sportist | 95 : 86 | Academic |
| 2015.03.15 | Academic | 91 : 83 | Rilski Sportist |
| 2014.12.30 | Rilski Sportist | 76 : 86 | Academic |
| 2014.10.27 | Academic | 105 : 91 | Rilski Sportist |
| 2014.04.23 | Rilski Sportist | 81 : 67 | Academic |
| 2014.02.16 | Rilski Sportist | 63 : 78 | Academic |
| 2013.12.15 | Academic | 92 : 87 | Rilski Sportist |