Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Bulgaria · 10
Cherno MoreHOME · -
101 : 782014.12.14 · 종료
BeroeAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME75.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY24.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+75.1%
VALUE EDGE+75.1%
FAIR ODDS1.33
GRADES
Cherno MoreAnalysis MetricsBeroe
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+6.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.50
163.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
179.33
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cherno More
L · 82-87W · 74-89L · 96-78W · 91-78W · 67-109
Beroe
W · 69-101L · 62-85L · 72-65W · 88-77L · 98-82
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.03.13 | Cherno More | 88 : 84 | Beroe |
| 2020.02.02 | Cherno More | 79 : 89 | Beroe |
| 2019.12.02 | Beroe | 86 : 85 | Cherno More |
| 2015.02.28 | Cherno More | 86 : 76 | Beroe |
| 2014.12.14 | Cherno More | 101 : 78 | Beroe |
| 2014.10.12 | Beroe | 83 : 72 | Cherno More |
| 2014.03.23 | Beroe | 70 : 67 | Cherno More |
| 2014.01.06 | Beroe | 90 : 110 | Cherno More |
| 2013.11.03 | Cherno More | 106 : 69 | Beroe |