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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL Bulgaria · 6
BalkanHOME · -
96 : 782014.11.17 · 종료
Cherno MoreAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME49.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY50.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +50.8%
VALUE EDGE+50.8%
FAIR ODDS1.97
GRADEA
BalkanAnalysis MetricsCherno More
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
+2.83 Point MarginHigher is better +6.42
152.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 163.58
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 71.4%
8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation0.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
49.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
50.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Balkan
W · 65-83L · 78-79W · 68-79L · 60-69W · 60-85
Cherno More
W · 91-78W · 67-109W · 90-79L · 83-72W · 20-0

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.03Balkan94 : 71Cherno More
2026.02.22Cherno More77 : 76Balkan
2025.03.17Cherno More89 : 81Balkan
2019.12.19Cherno More67 : 88Balkan
2019.10.20Balkan101 : 66Cherno More
2015.04.05Balkan81 : 69Cherno More
2015.01.25Cherno More75 : 74Balkan
2014.11.17Balkan96 : 78Cherno More
2014.05.28Cherno More20 : 0Balkan
2014.05.24Balkan0 : 20Cherno More