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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL Bulgaria · 4
Rilski SportistHOME · -
98 : 822014.11.01 · 종료
BeroeAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME80.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY19.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 84.2% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +80.6%
VALUE EDGE+80.6%
FAIR ODDS1.24
GRADEA
Rilski SportistAnalysis MetricsBeroe
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-1.50 Point MarginHigher is better +0.50
171.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 179.33
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
80.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
19.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rilski Sportist
L · 105-91W · 82-69L · 84-91L · 89-82W · 81-67
Beroe
L · 68-79W · 80-82W · 83-72L · 77-98L · 74-64

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2020.01.19Rilski Sportist78 : 75Beroe
2019.11.17Beroe90 : 86Rilski Sportist
2015.05.05Beroe65 : 78Rilski Sportist
2015.05.03Rilski Sportist94 : 86Beroe
2015.03.19Rilski Sportist88 : 72Beroe
2015.01.11Beroe66 : 73Rilski Sportist
2014.11.01Rilski Sportist98 : 82Beroe
2014.03.16Rilski Sportist78 : 88Beroe
2013.12.28Rilski Sportist95 : 64Beroe
2013.10.27Beroe72 : 93Rilski Sportist