Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Bulgaria · NBL - 3rd place
Cherno MoreHOME · -
20 : 02014.05.28 · 종료
BalkanAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME59.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 54.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+59.4%
VALUE EDGE+59.4%
FAIR ODDS1.68
GRADEA
Cherno MoreAnalysis MetricsBalkan
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+7.67
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.83
161.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.00
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation8.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cherno More
W · 0-20L · 64-82W · 85-69L · 97-92L · 93-74
Balkan
L · 0-20L · 93-100L · 88-84L · 81-71W · 89-71
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.03 | Balkan | 94 : 71 | Cherno More |
| 2026.02.22 | Cherno More | 77 : 76 | Balkan |
| 2025.03.17 | Cherno More | 89 : 81 | Balkan |
| 2019.12.19 | Cherno More | 67 : 88 | Balkan |
| 2019.10.20 | Balkan | 101 : 66 | Cherno More |
| 2015.04.05 | Balkan | 81 : 69 | Cherno More |
| 2015.01.25 | Cherno More | 75 : 74 | Balkan |
| 2014.11.17 | Balkan | 96 : 78 | Cherno More |
| 2014.05.28 | Cherno More | 20 : 0 | Balkan |
| 2014.05.24 | Balkan | 0 : 20 | Cherno More |