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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL Bulgaria · 22
Spartak PlevenHOME · -
78 : 852014.03.30 · 종료
ChernomoretsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME67.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK HOME 67.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +67.2%
VALUE EDGE+67.2%
FAIR ODDS1.49
GRADES
Spartak PlevenAnalysis MetricsChernomorets
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
+2.58 Point MarginHigher is better -17.00
152.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.67
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.9 / 15
Prediction separation14.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
67.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
32.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Spartak Pleven
L · 71-88L · 91-64L · 82-70L · 77-96L · 97-78
Chernomorets
L · 104-92L · 78-117L · 98-89L · 103-89L · 78-95

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2020.01.19Chernomorets83 : 79Spartak Pleven
2019.11.17Spartak Pleven96 : 91Chernomorets
2015.04.10Chernomorets77 : 89Spartak Pleven
2015.02.01Spartak Pleven82 : 90Chernomorets
2014.11.23Chernomorets73 : 70Spartak Pleven
2014.03.30Spartak Pleven78 : 85Chernomorets
2014.01.12Spartak Pleven88 : 72Chernomorets
2013.11.10Chernomorets53 : 60Spartak Pleven