Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Bulgaria · 21
BeroeHOME · -
70 : 672014.03.23 · 종료
Cherno MoreAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME19.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY80.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 82.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+80.2%
VALUE EDGE+80.2%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADEA
BeroeAnalysis MetricsCherno More
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-1.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.67
178.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
161.83
25.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
71.4%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Beroe
W · 78-88L · 69-83L · 86-70L · 78-64L · 106-50
Cherno More
W · 78-117L · 84-74W · 82-70L · 95-83W · 93-72
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.03.13 | Cherno More | 88 : 84 | Beroe |
| 2020.02.02 | Cherno More | 79 : 89 | Beroe |
| 2019.12.02 | Beroe | 86 : 85 | Cherno More |
| 2015.02.28 | Cherno More | 86 : 76 | Beroe |
| 2014.12.14 | Cherno More | 101 : 78 | Beroe |
| 2014.10.12 | Beroe | 83 : 72 | Cherno More |
| 2014.03.23 | Beroe | 70 : 67 | Cherno More |
| 2014.01.06 | Beroe | 90 : 110 | Cherno More |
| 2013.11.03 | Cherno More | 106 : 69 | Beroe |