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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Bulgarian Cup Bulgaria · Bulgarian Cup - Final
LevskiHOME · -
86 : 812023.03.25 · 종료
CSKA SofiaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME56.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW60 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 63/100
AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +56.8%
VALUE EDGE+56.8%
FAIR ODDS1.76
GRADEC
LevskiAnalysis MetricsCSKA Sofia
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-9.56 Point MarginHigher is better -13.67
159.56 Pace ProxyComparison metric 171.67
25.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

60/100 LOW
Data coverage12.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form9.4 / 10
Historical sample6.3 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation5.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence3.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
56.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
43.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Levski
W · 73-77W · 85-78
CSKA Sofia
W · 82-63

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.03.25Levski86 : 81CSKA Sofia