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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Bulgarian Cup Bulgaria · Bulgarian Cup - Semi-finals
ChernomoretsHOME · -
73 : 772023.03.23 · 종료
LevskiAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME20.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY79.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 78/100
AI PICK AWAY 77.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +79.8%
VALUE EDGE+79.8%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADEB
ChernomoretsAnalysis MetricsLevski
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-16.83 Point MarginHigher is better -9.44
167.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 161.44
28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
1.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage15.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample8.8 / 10
Model agreement11.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
20.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
79.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Chernomorets
L · 98-66L · 77-94L · 99-94W · 83-79L · 73-70
Levski
W · 85-78

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.03.23Chernomorets73 : 77Levski