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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Bulgarian Cup Bulgaria · Bulgarian Cup - Quarter-finals
CSKA SofiaHOME · -
82 : 632023.03.22 · 종료
Spartak PlevenAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME60.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY39.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW58 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 70/100
AI PICK HOME 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +60.5%
VALUE EDGE+60.5%
FAIR ODDS1.65
GRADEC
CSKA SofiaAnalysis MetricsSpartak Pleven
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-17.67 Point MarginHigher is better +0.25
175.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 152.58
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

58/100 LOW
Data coverage14.2 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample7.5 / 10
Model agreement4.6 / 15
Prediction separation9.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence3.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
60.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
39.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
CSKA Sofia
Collecting Data
Spartak Pleven
W · 71-75L · 79-101L · 100-75L · 86-87L · 83-79

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.03.22CSKA Sofia82 : 63Spartak Pleven