Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Super 8
Brazil · Super 8 - Semi-finals
Sao PauloHOME · -
70 : 742023.01.26 · 종료
FlamengoAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME46.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+53.6%
VALUE EDGE+53.6%
FAIR ODDS1.87
GRADEB
Sao PauloAnalysis MetricsFlamengo
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
+11.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.25
162.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.08
85.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
100.0%
4.4일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.4 / 15
Prediction separation3.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sao Paulo
W · 100-78W · 98-84W · 79-93W · 75-71W · 101-81
Flamengo
W · 71-65W · 91-46W · 103-47W · 67-94L · 81-89
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.01.26 | Sao Paulo | 70 : 74 | Flamengo |
| 2021.04.12 | Sao Paulo | 66 : 75 | Flamengo |
| 2021.01.24 | Sao Paulo | 71 : 79 | Flamengo |