Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Super 8
Brazil · Super 8 - Quarter-finals
FlamengoHOME · -
71 : 652023.01.23 · 종료
PaulistanoAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME80.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY19.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 84.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+80.4%
VALUE EDGE+80.4%
FAIR ODDS1.24
GRADEA
FlamengoAnalysis MetricsPaulistano
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+7.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.58
158.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
145.25
77.8%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
22.2%
6.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Flamengo
W · 91-46W · 103-47W · 67-94L · 81-89L · 83-85
Paulistano
L · 78-65L · 74-65L · 85-74W · 72-67L · 75-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.02.01 | Flamengo | 83 : 82 | Paulistano |
| 2023.01.23 | Flamengo | 71 : 65 | Paulistano |
| 2015.01.16 | Flamengo | 97 : 81 | Paulistano |
| 2014.11.01 | Paulistano | 91 : 99 | Flamengo |
| 2011.02.27 | Paulistano | 82 : 91 | Flamengo |
| 2010.12.19 | Flamengo | 116 : 76 | Paulistano |
| 2009.03.28 | Flamengo | 105 : 71 | Paulistano |
| 2009.01.31 | Paulistano | 87 : 96 | Flamengo |