Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Super 8
Brazil · Super 8 - Quarter-finals
FrancaHOME · -
83 : 582023.01.22 · 종료
BauruAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME40.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY59.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+59.2%
VALUE EDGE+59.2%
FAIR ODDS1.69
GRADEA
FrancaAnalysis MetricsBauru
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+9.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.42
160.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
147.58
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
5.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.5 / 15
Prediction separation7.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Franca
W · 76-83W · 76-83W · 104-87W · 92-106L · 94-73
Bauru
L · 72-65W · 69-61L · 67-77L · 91-69W · 77-65
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.01.22 | Franca | 83 : 58 | Bauru |
| 2015.05.06 | Bauru | 78 : 72 | Franca |
| 2015.05.03 | Franca | 78 : 67 | Bauru |
| 2015.05.01 | Franca | 67 : 75 | Bauru |
| 2015.04.27 | Bauru | 71 : 74 | Franca |
| 2015.04.25 | Bauru | 82 : 55 | Franca |
| 2015.03.25 | Bauru | 82 : 70 | Franca |
| 2014.12.21 | Franca | 73 : 79 | Bauru |
| 2011.03.26 | Franca | 76 : 71 | Bauru |
| 2011.01.15 | Bauru | 84 : 68 | Franca |