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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Super 8 Brazil · Super 8 - Quarter-finals
Sao PauloHOME · -
100 : 782023.01.21 · 종료
PinheirosAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME73.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK HOME 73.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +73.7%
VALUE EDGE+73.7%
FAIR ODDS1.36
GRADEA
Sao PauloAnalysis MetricsPinheiros
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+9.25 Point MarginHigher is better +9.17
159.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.17
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
73.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
26.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sao Paulo
W · 98-84W · 79-93W · 75-71W · 101-81W · 95-73
Pinheiros
L · 93-81L · 82-76W · 96-90L · 91-95W · 87-110

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.01.21Sao Paulo100 : 78Pinheiros