Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Super 8
Brazil · Super 8 - Semi-finals
FlamengoHOME · -
83 : 822024.02.01 · 종료
PaulistanoAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME77.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY22.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+77.4%
VALUE EDGE+77.4%
FAIR ODDS1.29
GRADES
FlamengoAnalysis MetricsPaulistano
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+9.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.00
157.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
142.83
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
22.2%
3.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Flamengo
W · 86-67L · 79-88W · 75-80W · 88-86W · 64-92
Paulistano
W · 62-76L · 71-65L · 78-65L · 74-65L · 85-74
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.02.01 | Flamengo | 83 : 82 | Paulistano |
| 2023.01.23 | Flamengo | 71 : 65 | Paulistano |
| 2015.01.16 | Flamengo | 97 : 81 | Paulistano |
| 2014.11.01 | Paulistano | 91 : 99 | Flamengo |
| 2011.02.27 | Paulistano | 82 : 91 | Flamengo |
| 2010.12.19 | Flamengo | 116 : 76 | Paulistano |
| 2009.03.28 | Flamengo | 105 : 71 | Paulistano |
| 2009.01.31 | Paulistano | 87 : 96 | Flamengo |