Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Super 8
Brazil · Super 8 - Quarter-finals
MinasHOME · -
73 : 692024.01.28 · 종료
CearenseAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME71.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+71.7%
VALUE EDGE+71.7%
FAIR ODDS1.39
GRADEA
MinasAnalysis MetricsCearense
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+11.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-12.75
161.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
154.75
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Minas
W · 94-81L · 75-80W · 84-93W · 98-78L · 83-72
Cearense
L · 69-61L · 86-82L · 86-78L · 63-89L · 76-82
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.01.28 | Minas | 73 : 69 | Cearense |
| 2015.01.28 | Minas | 90 : 63 | Cearense |
| 2014.11.12 | Cearense | 71 : 65 | Minas |