Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBB Brazil · NBB - Semi-finals

MogiHOME · -

85 : 782015.05.16 · 종료

BauruAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME30.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY69.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100

AI PICK AWAY 67.9% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +69.7%

VALUE EDGE+69.7%

FAIR ODDS1.43

GRADEA

MogiAnalysis MetricsBauru

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

+1.33 Point MarginHigher is better -8.50

157.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 147.50

100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

2.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.6 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement4.5 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

30.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

69.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mogi

L · 84-81W · 73-81W · 91-84W · 73-91L · 78-69

Bauru

W · 84-81L · 73-81W · 78-72L · 78-67W · 67-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.10.24	Bauru	61 : 79	Mogi
2015.05.21	Bauru	77 : 65	Mogi
2015.05.16	Mogi	85 : 78	Bauru
2015.05.13	Bauru	84 : 81	Mogi
2015.05.11	Bauru	73 : 81	Mogi
2015.04.01	Bauru	97 : 75	Mogi
2015.01.07	Mogi	80 : 99	Bauru