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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBB Brazil · NBB - Quarter-finals
Sao JoseHOME · -
81 : 762015.05.01 · 종료
FlamengoAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME22.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY77.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 77.7% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +77.6%
VALUE EDGE+77.6%
FAIR ODDS1.29
GRADES
Sao JoseAnalysis MetricsFlamengo
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%
-6.08 Point MarginHigher is better +7.25
159.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 158.08
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
22.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
77.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sao Jose
L · 68-86W · 76-82L · 85-62W · 74-65W · 85-74
Flamengo
W · 68-86L · 76-82W · 85-62W · 86-70W · 99-74

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.05.06Flamengo98 : 64Sao Jose
2015.05.01Sao Jose81 : 76Flamengo
2015.04.29Sao Jose68 : 86Flamengo
2015.04.26Flamengo76 : 82Sao Jose
2015.04.24Flamengo85 : 62Sao Jose
2015.03.29Flamengo93 : 88Sao Jose
2014.12.13Sao Jose71 : 94Flamengo
2011.04.02Sao Jose70 : 81Flamengo
2011.01.22Flamengo88 : 85Sao Jose
2009.04.02Flamengo91 : 80Sao Jose