Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBB
Brazil · NBB - Quarter-finals
MacaeHOME · -
78 : 692015.04.30 · 종료
MogiAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME37.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY62.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+62.3%
VALUE EDGE+62.3%
FAIR ODDS1.60
GRADEA
MacaeAnalysis MetricsMogi
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-1.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.67
169.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.83
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
3.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation10.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Macae
W · 84-89L · 84-72W · 92-86W · 91-62L · 90-78
Mogi
L · 84-89W · 84-72W · 74-78L · 97-75W · 89-95
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.05.05 | Mogi | 91 : 84 | Macae |
| 2015.05.02 | Macae | 73 : 91 | Mogi |
| 2015.04.30 | Macae | 78 : 69 | Mogi |
| 2015.04.26 | Mogi | 84 : 89 | Macae |
| 2015.04.24 | Mogi | 84 : 72 | Macae |
| 2015.03.28 | Macae | 89 : 95 | Mogi |
| 2014.12.13 | Mogi | 81 : 70 | Macae |