Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBB
Brazil · NBB - Quarter-finals
Sao JoseHOME · -
68 : 862015.04.29 · 종료
FlamengoAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME23.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY76.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+76.6%
VALUE EDGE+76.6%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADEA
Sao JoseAnalysis MetricsFlamengo
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-4.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.25
159.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.08
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
100.0%
3.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sao Jose
W · 76-82L · 85-62W · 74-65W · 85-74L · 72-67
Flamengo
L · 76-82W · 85-62W · 86-70W · 99-74W · 93-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.05.06 | Flamengo | 98 : 64 | Sao Jose |
| 2015.05.01 | Sao Jose | 81 : 76 | Flamengo |
| 2015.04.29 | Sao Jose | 68 : 86 | Flamengo |
| 2015.04.26 | Flamengo | 76 : 82 | Sao Jose |
| 2015.04.24 | Flamengo | 85 : 62 | Sao Jose |
| 2015.03.29 | Flamengo | 93 : 88 | Sao Jose |
| 2014.12.13 | Sao Jose | 71 : 94 | Flamengo |
| 2011.04.02 | Sao Jose | 70 : 81 | Flamengo |
| 2011.01.22 | Flamengo | 88 : 85 | Sao Jose |
| 2009.04.02 | Flamengo | 91 : 80 | Sao Jose |