Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBB Brazil · NBB - Quarter-finals

MogiHOME · -

84 : 892015.04.26 · 종료

MacaeAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME78.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY21.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100

AI PICK HOME 77.7% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +78.9%

VALUE EDGE+78.9%

FAIR ODDS1.27

GRADEA

MogiAnalysis MetricsMacae

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

+2.67 Point MarginHigher is better -1.00

158.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.33

100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

2.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.6 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.7 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

78.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

21.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mogi

W · 84-72W · 74-78L · 97-75W · 89-95L · 87-83

Macae

L · 84-72W · 92-86W · 91-62L · 90-78L · 79-81

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2015.05.05	Mogi	91 : 84	Macae
2015.05.02	Macae	73 : 91	Mogi
2015.04.30	Macae	78 : 69	Mogi
2015.04.26	Mogi	84 : 89	Macae
2015.04.24	Mogi	84 : 72	Macae
2015.03.28	Macae	89 : 95	Mogi
2014.12.13	Mogi	81 : 70	Macae