Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBB Brazil · NBB - Quarter-finals

MogiHOME · -

84 : 722015.04.24 · 종료

MacaeAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME77.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY22.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100

AI PICK HOME 77.7% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +77.9%

VALUE EDGE+77.9%

FAIR ODDS1.28

GRADEA

MogiAnalysis MetricsMacae

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

+2.67 Point MarginHigher is better +0.42

158.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 168.75

100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.6 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement11.9 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

77.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

22.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mogi

W · 74-78L · 97-75W · 89-95L · 87-83W · 88-77

Macae

W · 92-86W · 91-62L · 90-78L · 79-81L · 89-95

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2015.05.05	Mogi	91 : 84	Macae
2015.05.02	Macae	73 : 91	Mogi
2015.04.30	Macae	78 : 69	Mogi
2015.04.26	Mogi	84 : 89	Macae
2015.04.24	Mogi	84 : 72	Macae
2015.03.28	Macae	89 : 95	Mogi
2014.12.13	Mogi	81 : 70	Macae