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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBB Brazil · NBB - Quarter-finals
FlamengoHOME · -
85 : 622015.04.24 · 종료
Sao JoseAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME85.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY14.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 88.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +85.6%
VALUE EDGE+85.6%
FAIR ODDS1.17
GRADEA
FlamengoAnalysis MetricsSao Jose
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+7.25 Point MarginHigher is better -3.75
158.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.92
77.8% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
85.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
14.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Flamengo
W · 86-70W · 99-74W · 93-88W · 87-83W · 95-106
Sao Jose
W · 74-65W · 85-74L · 72-67W · 75-76L · 104-96

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.05.06Flamengo98 : 64Sao Jose
2015.05.01Sao Jose81 : 76Flamengo
2015.04.29Sao Jose68 : 86Flamengo
2015.04.26Flamengo76 : 82Sao Jose
2015.04.24Flamengo85 : 62Sao Jose
2015.03.29Flamengo93 : 88Sao Jose
2014.12.13Sao Jose71 : 94Flamengo
2011.04.02Sao Jose70 : 81Flamengo
2011.01.22Flamengo88 : 85Sao Jose
2009.04.02Flamengo91 : 80Sao Jose