Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBB
Brazil
MacaeHOME · -
91 : 622015.04.16 · 종료
MinasAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME41.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY58.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+58.8%
VALUE EDGE+58.8%
FAIR ODDS1.70
GRADEA
MacaeAnalysis MetricsMinas
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-3.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+13.33
169.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.50
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
100.0%
3.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.2 / 15
Prediction separation7.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Macae
L · 90-78L · 79-81L · 89-95L · 103-105L · 80-77
Minas
W · 90-78L · 87-110L · 68-73L · 73-68L · 66-62
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.04.18 | Macae | 92 : 86 | Minas |
| 2015.04.16 | Macae | 91 : 62 | Minas |
| 2015.04.11 | Minas | 90 : 78 | Macae |
| 2014.11.21 | Minas | 73 : 63 | Macae |