Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBB
Brazil
MinasHOME · -
90 : 782015.04.11 · 종료
MacaeAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME68.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+68.4%
VALUE EDGE+68.4%
FAIR ODDS1.46
GRADEA
MinasAnalysis MetricsMacae
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+13.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.42
157.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
167.75
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Minas
L · 87-110L · 68-73L · 73-68L · 66-62W · 56-75
Macae
L · 79-81L · 89-95L · 103-105L · 80-77W · 76-82
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.04.18 | Macae | 92 : 86 | Minas |
| 2015.04.16 | Macae | 91 : 62 | Minas |
| 2015.04.11 | Minas | 90 : 78 | Macae |
| 2014.11.21 | Minas | 73 : 63 | Macae |