Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBB
Brazil · 25
MacaeHOME · -
89 : 952015.03.28 · 종료
MogiAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME35.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY64.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+64.2%
VALUE EDGE+64.2%
FAIR ODDS1.56
GRADEA
MacaeAnalysis MetricsMogi
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-0.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.67
166.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.83
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.0 / 15
Prediction separation12.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Macae
L · 103-105L · 80-77W · 76-82L · 103-78L · 99-69
Mogi
L · 87-83W · 88-77W · 89-82W · 79-89W · 108-99
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.05.05 | Mogi | 91 : 84 | Macae |
| 2015.05.02 | Macae | 73 : 91 | Mogi |
| 2015.04.30 | Macae | 78 : 69 | Mogi |
| 2015.04.26 | Mogi | 84 : 89 | Macae |
| 2015.04.24 | Mogi | 84 : 72 | Macae |
| 2015.03.28 | Macae | 89 : 95 | Mogi |
| 2014.12.13 | Mogi | 81 : 70 | Macae |