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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBB Brazil · 18
PalmeirasHOME · -
68 : 842015.01.28 · 종료
MogiAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME52.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY47.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +52.6%
VALUE EDGE+52.6%
FAIR ODDS1.90
GRADEB
PalmeirasAnalysis MetricsMogi
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-6.58 Point MarginHigher is better +2.67
151.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 158.83
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.1 / 15
Prediction separation2.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
52.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
47.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Palmeiras
W · 79-69W · 101-98W · 79-68L · 76-80W · 65-79
Mogi
W · 66-76W · 80-86W · 86-88W · 80-91L · 80-82

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.01.28Palmeiras68 : 84Mogi
2014.12.08Mogi85 : 84Palmeiras