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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBB Brazil · 13
PaulistanoHOME · -
83 : 692014.12.23 · 종료
SorocabanaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME70.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY29.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 73.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +70.2%
VALUE EDGE+70.2%
FAIR ODDS1.42
GRADEA
PaulistanoAnalysis MetricsSorocabana
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-3.50 Point MarginHigher is better -1.92
145.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 164.25
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
70.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
29.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Paulistano
L · 74-76W · 89-71W · 89-93L · 73-68L · 62-83
Sorocabana
L · 70-78L · 83-78L · 88-96L · 70-82L · 65-84

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.03.14Sorocabana78 : 76Paulistano
2014.12.23Paulistano83 : 69Sorocabana