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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBB Brazil · 10
PalmeirasHOME · -
83 : 782014.12.12 · 종료
SorocabanaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME77.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY22.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 77.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +77.4%
VALUE EDGE+77.4%
FAIR ODDS1.29
GRADEB
PalmeirasAnalysis MetricsSorocabana
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-6.58 Point MarginHigher is better -1.92
151.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 164.25
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

64/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
77.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
22.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Palmeiras
W · 73-68L · 85-84L · 81-77L · 77-72W · 94-87
Sorocabana
L · 88-96L · 70-82L · 65-84L · 97-80L · 82-55

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.02.27Sorocabana102 : 81Palmeiras
2014.12.12Palmeiras83 : 78Sorocabana