LIVE 7 오늘 248경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

Primera División Uruguay · Clausura - 8
Defensor SportingHOME · 2.20
1 : 02026.09.28 · 종료
DanubioAWAY · 3.00
HOME · 현재 순위 12위 승점 8 · 9경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 13위 승점 7 · 9경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME39.1%
DRAW32.6%
AWAY28.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH81 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 81/100
AI PICK HOME 32.4% CAL
VALUE PICK DRAW +3.6%
VALUE EDGE+3.6%
FAIR ODDS3.07
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION WATCH 60/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +13.2%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +13.9%p
LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN -1.4%p
REST HOME +19.8%p
MARKET HOME +10.9%p
• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Defensor Sporting분석 지표Danubio
16.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%
0.92 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.83
1.58 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.33
28.6% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%
7.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.1일
API Prediction 없음 Lineups 없음 Injuries 없음 Statistics 없음
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

81/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지16.1 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본4.5 / 10
모델 일치도12.8 / 15
예측 분리도2.8 / 15
데이터 신선도7.0 / 10
종목 핵심정보1.8 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME40.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승46.9%표본 192경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승47.0%현재 이동 -0.5%
OPEN → NOW2.21 → 2.20배당 업데이트 2026-09-27 12:12:04

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
39.1%
DRAW
32.6%
AWAY
28.3%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Defensor Sporting
L · 3-2W · 1-0D · 1-1D · 1-1L · 1-3
Danubio
D · 1-1D · 1-1D · 1-1L · 0-4L · 2-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+6.0%+3.0%0.0%-3.0%-6.0%09/26 12:1509/27 01:5209/27 05:4209/27 08:4209/27 12:12HOME · 배당 2.22 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-26 12:15:14HOME · 배당 2.21 · 변동 -0.48% · 2026-09-27 00:13:33HOME · 배당 2.22 · 변동 -0.05% · 2026-09-27 00:13:34HOME · 배당 2.21 · 변동 -0.50% · 2026-09-27 00:33:35HOME · 배당 2.25 · 변동 +1.42% · 2026-09-27 00:33:36HOME · 배당 2.21 · 변동 -0.29% · 2026-09-27 00:53:24HOME · 배당 2.25 · 변동 +1.42% · 2026-09-27 01:13:24HOME · 배당 2.21 · 변동 -0.50% · 2026-09-27 01:13:25HOME · 배당 2.21 · 변동 -0.29% · 2026-09-27 01:34:05HOME · 배당 2.21 · 변동 -0.29% · 2026-09-27 01:52:56HOME · 배당 2.21 · 변동 -0.29% · 2026-09-27 02:12:55HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 -1.02% · 2026-09-27 02:42:06HOME · 배당 2.22 · 변동 -0.16% · 2026-09-27 02:42:07HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-27 03:12:03HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 -0.90% · 2026-09-27 03:42:06HOME · 배당 2.23 · 변동 +0.29% · 2026-09-27 03:42:07HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-27 04:12:02HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-27 04:42:03HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-27 05:12:05HOME · 배당 2.25 · 변동 +1.42% · 2026-09-27 05:42:07HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 -0.89% · 2026-09-27 05:42:08HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-27 06:12:02HOME · 배당 2.25 · 변동 +1.42% · 2026-09-27 06:42:03HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 -0.89% · 2026-09-27 06:42:04HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-27 07:12:07HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-27 07:42:02HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 -1.06% · 2026-09-27 08:12:06HOME · 배당 2.21 · 변동 -0.30% · 2026-09-27 08:12:07HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-27 08:42:06HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-27 09:12:10HOME · 배당 2.21 · 변동 -0.39% · 2026-09-27 09:42:07HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 -1.14% · 2026-09-27 09:42:08HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-27 10:12:05HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-27 10:42:06HOME · 배당 2.25 · 변동 +1.42% · 2026-09-27 11:12:07HOME · 배당 2.21 · 변동 -0.56% · 2026-09-27 11:12:08HOME · 배당 2.21 · 변동 -0.34% · 2026-09-27 11:42:06HOME · 배당 2.21 · 변동 -0.34% · 2026-09-27 12:12:04DRAW · 배당 3.12 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-26 12:15:14DRAW · 배당 3.11 · 변동 -0.59% · 2026-09-27 00:13:33DRAW · 배당 3.11 · 변동 -0.46% · 2026-09-27 00:13:34DRAW · 배당 3.12 · 변동 -0.30% · 2026-09-27 00:33:35DRAW · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -2.38% · 2026-09-27 00:33:36DRAW · 배당 3.11 · 변동 -0.53% · 2026-09-27 00:53:24DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 +2.42% · 2026-09-27 01:13:24DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -0.90% · 2026-09-27 01:13:25DRAW · 배당 3.11 · 변동 -0.53% · 2026-09-27 01:34:05DRAW · 배당 3.11 · 변동 -0.53% · 2026-09-27 01:52:56DRAW · 배당 3.11 · 변동 -0.53% · 2026-09-27 02:12:55DRAW · 배당 3.11 · 변동 -0.59% · 2026-09-27 02:42:06DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -0.70% · 2026-09-27 02:42:07DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-27 03:12:03DRAW · 배당 3.11 · 변동 -0.37% · 2026-09-27 03:42:06DRAW · 배당 3.08 · 변동 -1.58% · 2026-09-27 03:42:07DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-27 04:12:02DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-27 04:42:03DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-27 05:12:05DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 +2.42% · 2026-09-27 05:42:07DRAW · 배당 3.09 · 변동 -1.02% · 2026-09-27 05:42:08DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-27 06:12:02DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 +2.42% · 2026-09-27 06:42:03DRAW · 배당 3.09 · 변동 -1.02% · 2026-09-27 06:42:04DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-27 07:12:07DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-27 07:42:02DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -0.78% · 2026-09-27 08:12:06DRAW · 배당 3.11 · 변동 -0.52% · 2026-09-27 08:12:07DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-27 08:42:06DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-27 09:12:10DRAW · 배당 3.15 · 변동 +0.77% · 2026-09-27 09:42:07DRAW · 배당 3.02 · 변동 -3.44% · 2026-09-27 09:42:08DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-27 10:12:05DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-27 10:42:06DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 +2.42% · 2026-09-27 11:12:07DRAW · 배당 3.08 · 변동 -1.30% · 2026-09-27 11:12:08DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -0.88% · 2026-09-27 11:42:06DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -0.88% · 2026-09-27 12:12:04AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-26 12:15:14AWAY · 배당 3.03 · 변동 -0.75% · 2026-09-27 00:13:33AWAY · 배당 2.98 · 변동 -2.39% · 2026-09-27 00:13:34AWAY · 배당 3.00 · 변동 -1.65% · 2026-09-27 00:33:35AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.09% · 2026-09-27 00:33:36AWAY · 배당 3.01 · 변동 -1.48% · 2026-09-27 00:53:24AWAY · 배당 2.90 · 변동 -5.01% · 2026-09-27 01:13:24AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 -1.04% · 2026-09-27 01:13:25AWAY · 배당 3.01 · 변동 -1.48% · 2026-09-27 01:34:05AWAY · 배당 3.01 · 변동 -1.48% · 2026-09-27 01:52:56AWAY · 배당 3.01 · 변동 -1.48% · 2026-09-27 02:12:55AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.03% · 2026-09-27 02:42:06AWAY · 배당 2.99 · 변동 -1.98% · 2026-09-27 02:42:07AWAY · 배당 3.03 · 변동 -0.89% · 2026-09-27 03:12:03AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 -1.08% · 2026-09-27 03:42:06AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.26% · 2026-09-27 03:42:07AWAY · 배당 3.03 · 변동 -0.89% · 2026-09-27 04:12:02AWAY · 배당 3.03 · 변동 -0.89% · 2026-09-27 04:42:03AWAY · 배당 3.03 · 변동 -0.89% · 2026-09-27 05:12:05AWAY · 배당 2.90 · 변동 -5.01% · 2026-09-27 05:42:07AWAY · 배당 3.04 · 변동 -0.38% · 2026-09-27 05:42:08AWAY · 배당 3.03 · 변동 -0.89% · 2026-09-27 06:12:02AWAY · 배당 2.90 · 변동 -5.01% · 2026-09-27 06:42:03AWAY · 배당 3.04 · 변동 -0.38% · 2026-09-27 06:42:04AWAY · 배당 3.03 · 변동 -0.89% · 2026-09-27 07:12:07AWAY · 배당 3.03 · 변동 -0.89% · 2026-09-27 07:42:02AWAY · 배당 3.04 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-09-27 08:12:06AWAY · 배당 3.01 · 변동 -1.27% · 2026-09-27 08:12:07AWAY · 배당 3.03 · 변동 -0.89% · 2026-09-27 08:42:06AWAY · 배당 3.03 · 변동 -0.89% · 2026-09-27 09:12:10AWAY · 배당 3.06 · 변동 +0.12% · 2026-09-27 09:42:07AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 -2.93% · 2026-09-27 09:42:08AWAY · 배당 3.03 · 변동 -0.89% · 2026-09-27 10:12:05AWAY · 배당 3.03 · 변동 -0.89% · 2026-09-27 10:42:06AWAY · 배당 3.00 · 변동 -1.73% · 2026-09-27 11:12:07AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 -1.08% · 2026-09-27 11:12:08AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 -1.15% · 2026-09-27 11:42:06AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 -1.15% · 2026-09-27 12:12:04
HOME38 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.22
→
CURRENT2.21
-0.34%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW38 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.12
→
CURRENT3.10
-0.88%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY38 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.05
→
CURRENT3.02
-1.15%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-09-26 12:15:142.223.123.05
2026-09-27 00:13:332.213.113.03
2026-09-27 00:13:342.223.112.98
2026-09-27 00:33:352.213.123.00
2026-09-27 00:33:362.253.053.05
2026-09-27 00:53:242.213.113.01
2026-09-27 01:13:242.253.202.90
2026-09-27 01:13:252.213.103.02
2026-09-27 01:34:052.213.113.01
2026-09-27 01:52:562.213.113.01
2026-09-27 02:12:552.213.113.01
2026-09-27 02:42:062.203.113.05
2026-09-27 02:42:072.223.102.99
2026-09-27 03:12:032.203.103.03
2026-09-27 03:42:062.203.113.02
2026-09-27 03:42:072.233.083.05
2026-09-27 04:12:022.203.103.03
2026-09-27 04:42:032.203.103.03
2026-09-27 05:12:052.203.103.03
2026-09-27 05:42:072.253.202.90
2026-09-27 05:42:082.203.093.04
2026-09-27 06:12:022.203.103.03
2026-09-27 06:42:032.253.202.90
2026-09-27 06:42:042.203.093.04
2026-09-27 07:12:072.203.103.03
2026-09-27 07:42:022.203.103.03
2026-09-27 08:12:062.203.103.04
2026-09-27 08:12:072.213.113.01
2026-09-27 08:42:062.203.103.03
2026-09-27 09:12:102.203.103.03
2026-09-27 09:42:072.213.153.06
2026-09-27 09:42:082.193.022.96
2026-09-27 10:12:052.203.103.03
2026-09-27 10:42:062.203.103.03
2026-09-27 11:12:072.253.203.00
2026-09-27 11:12:082.213.083.02
2026-09-27 11:42:062.213.103.02
2026-09-27 12:12:042.213.103.02

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.09.28Defensor Sporting1 : 0Danubio
2026.03.27Danubio0 : 0Defensor Sporting