Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prvenstvo BiH
Bosnia-and-Herzegovina
Mrkonjic GradHOME · -
74 : 612016.04.14 · 종료
Spars SarajevoAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME66.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY33.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+66.6%
VALUE EDGE+66.6%
FAIR ODDS1.50
GRADEA
Mrkonjic GradAnalysis MetricsSpars Sarajevo
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-6.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.08
161.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
154.75
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.5 / 15
Prediction separation14.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mrkonjic Grad
L · 90-67L · 83-74L · 56-89W · 82-87L · 79-62
Spars Sarajevo
L · 63-101L · 73-53L · 75-80W · 80-63W · 79-62
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018.01.22 | Mrkonjic Grad | 76 : 73 | Spars Sarajevo |
| 2017.10.29 | Spars Sarajevo | 84 : 72 | Mrkonjic Grad |
| 2017.03.05 | Spars Sarajevo | 76 : 74 | Mrkonjic Grad |
| 2016.12.11 | Mrkonjic Grad | 77 : 89 | Spars Sarajevo |
| 2016.04.14 | Mrkonjic Grad | 74 : 61 | Spars Sarajevo |
| 2016.03.27 | Spars Sarajevo | 79 : 62 | Mrkonjic Grad |
| 2016.01.11 | Mrkonjic Grad | 92 : 98 | Spars Sarajevo |
| 2015.11.01 | Spars Sarajevo | 85 : 81 | Mrkonjic Grad |