Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prvenstvo BiH
Bosnia-and-Herzegovina
VardaHOME · -
63 : 602016.02.28 · 종료
Zrinjski MostarAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME55.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+55.7%
VALUE EDGE+55.7%
FAIR ODDS1.79
GRADEB
VardaAnalysis MetricsZrinjski Mostar
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-6.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.50
152.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
159.00
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.4 / 15
Prediction separation4.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Varda
L · 92-83L · 70-77L · 80-81L · 88-78W · 83-64
Zrinjski Mostar
L · 66-76L · 84-76W · 78-70L · 80-68W · 78-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.02.28 | Varda | 63 : 60 | Zrinjski Mostar |
| 2015.12.07 | Zrinjski Mostar | 88 : 69 | Varda |