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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prvenstvo BiH Bosnia-and-Herzegovina
VardaHOME · -
78 : 772015.12.25 · 종료
Mrkonjic GradAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME35.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY64.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +64.8%
VALUE EDGE+64.8%
FAIR ODDS1.54
GRADEB
VardaAnalysis MetricsMrkonjic Grad
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-6.00 Point MarginHigher is better -6.58
149.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 161.08
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.2 / 15
Prediction separation12.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
35.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
64.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Varda
L · 73-64L · 58-77L · 67-69L · 88-69L · 60-69
Mrkonjic Grad
W · 83-71L · 69-54W · 67-74W · 91-82W · 89-70

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.12.25Varda78 : 77Mrkonjic Grad
2015.10.25Mrkonjic Grad89 : 77Varda