Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prvenstvo BiH
Bosnia-and-Herzegovina
Spars SarajevoHOME · -
85 : 812015.11.01 · 종료
Mrkonjic GradAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME53.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY46.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+53.7%
VALUE EDGE+53.7%
FAIR ODDS1.86
GRADEA
Spars SarajevoAnalysis MetricsMrkonjic Grad
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+3.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.58
154.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
161.08
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.6 / 15
Prediction separation3.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Spars Sarajevo
W · 70-76W · 90-77W · 72-81
Mrkonjic Grad
W · 89-77W · 75-82W · 94-83
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018.01.22 | Mrkonjic Grad | 76 : 73 | Spars Sarajevo |
| 2017.10.29 | Spars Sarajevo | 84 : 72 | Mrkonjic Grad |
| 2017.03.05 | Spars Sarajevo | 76 : 74 | Mrkonjic Grad |
| 2016.12.11 | Mrkonjic Grad | 77 : 89 | Spars Sarajevo |
| 2016.04.14 | Mrkonjic Grad | 74 : 61 | Spars Sarajevo |
| 2016.03.27 | Spars Sarajevo | 79 : 62 | Mrkonjic Grad |
| 2016.01.11 | Mrkonjic Grad | 92 : 98 | Spars Sarajevo |
| 2015.11.01 | Spars Sarajevo | 85 : 81 | Mrkonjic Grad |