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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Libobasquet Bolivia
Tarija BasquetHOME · -
88 : 642024.04.23 · 종료
SarachoAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME74.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 72.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +74.5%
VALUE EDGE+74.5%
FAIR ODDS1.34
GRADEA
Tarija BasquetAnalysis MetricsSaracho
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
-1.33 Point MarginHigher is better -8.00
151.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 184.83
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
74.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
25.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tarija Basquet
W · 88-90W · 89-68W · 74-76L · 78-85W · 81-90
Saracho
W · 102-96L · 84-85W · 85-88L · 72-98L · 77-70

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.06.15Saracho81 : 105Tarija Basquet
2024.04.23Tarija Basquet88 : 64Saracho