Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Libobasquet
Bolivia
Tarija BasquetHOME · -
78 : 852024.04.04 · 종료
Atletico NacionalAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME42.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY58.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+58.0%
VALUE EDGE+58.0%
FAIR ODDS1.72
GRADEB
Tarija BasquetAnalysis MetricsAtletico Nacional
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-1.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.75
151.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
149.25
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
5.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.4 / 15
Prediction separation6.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tarija Basquet
W · 81-90
Atletico Nacional
W · 77-70L · 82-80L · 66-65W · 74-66L · 57-74
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.08.13 | Atletico Nacional | 83 : 49 | Tarija Basquet |
| 2024.08.10 | Tarija Basquet | 66 : 62 | Atletico Nacional |
| 2024.08.09 | Tarija Basquet | 90 : 77 | Atletico Nacional |
| 2024.08.07 | Atletico Nacional | 94 : 78 | Tarija Basquet |
| 2024.08.06 | Atletico Nacional | 89 : 71 | Tarija Basquet |
| 2024.05.28 | Atletico Nacional | 99 : 71 | Tarija Basquet |
| 2024.04.04 | Tarija Basquet | 78 : 85 | Atletico Nacional |