Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Libobasquet
Bolivia
Atletico NacionalHOME · -
77 : 702024.03.28 · 종료
SarachoAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME76.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+76.6%
VALUE EDGE+76.6%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADEA
Atletico NacionalAnalysis MetricsSaracho
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+3.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.00
149.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
184.83
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Atletico Nacional
L · 82-80L · 66-65W · 74-66L · 57-74W · 57-78
Saracho
L · 87-65L · 76-79W · 94-87L · 100-80W · 79-70
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.05.19 | Saracho | 90 : 108 | Atletico Nacional |
| 2024.03.28 | Atletico Nacional | 77 : 70 | Saracho |
| 2023.07.18 | Atletico Nacional | 87 : 65 | Saracho |
| 2023.05.14 | Saracho | 60 : 86 | Atletico Nacional |