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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Libobasquet Bolivia · Libobasquet - Quarter-finals
Atletico NacionalHOME · -
104 : 612023.07.30 · 종료
Univ. SucreAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME72.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY27.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 73.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +72.5%
VALUE EDGE+72.5%
FAIR ODDS1.38
GRADEA
Atletico NacionalAnalysis MetricsUniv. Sucre
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%
+3.75 Point MarginHigher is better +9.00
149.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 144.00
57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 85.7%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
72.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
27.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Atletico Nacional
W · 81-84W · 87-65W · 67-73L · 74-79L · 89-84
Univ. Sucre
L · 81-84L · 76-78L · 104-96L · 87-74W · 101-93

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.08.14Atletico Nacional77 : 71Univ. Sucre
2025.08.10Atletico Nacional71 : 77Univ. Sucre
2025.08.06Univ. Sucre86 : 76Atletico Nacional
2025.08.01Univ. Sucre76 : 80Atletico Nacional
2025.06.27Univ. Sucre70 : 82Atletico Nacional
2025.05.15Atletico Nacional76 : 77Univ. Sucre
2024.07.04Atletico Nacional80 : 67Univ. Sucre
2023.07.30Atletico Nacional104 : 61Univ. Sucre
2023.07.27Univ. Sucre81 : 84Atletico Nacional
2023.06.18Univ. Sucre81 : 68Atletico Nacional