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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Libobasquet Bolivia
SarachoHOME · -
60 : 862023.05.14 · 종료
Atletico NacionalAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME60.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY39.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 57.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +60.8%
VALUE EDGE+60.8%
FAIR ODDS1.65
GRADEA
SarachoAnalysis MetricsAtletico Nacional
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-8.00 Point MarginHigher is better +3.75
184.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 149.25
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.0 / 15
Prediction separation9.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
60.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
39.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Saracho
W · 70-78L · 65-58W · 83-77L · 86-62W · 82-71
Atletico Nacional
W · 91-70L · 87-80W · 84-72L · 93-80W · 92-53

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.05.19Saracho90 : 108Atletico Nacional
2024.03.28Atletico Nacional77 : 70Saracho
2023.07.18Atletico Nacional87 : 65Saracho
2023.05.14Saracho60 : 86Atletico Nacional