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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Libobasquet Bolivia
Atletico NacionalHOME · -
84 : 722023.04.26 · 종료
San SimonAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME58.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 53.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +58.0%
VALUE EDGE+58.0%
FAIR ODDS1.72
GRADEB
Atletico NacionalAnalysis MetricsSan Simon
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+3.75 Point MarginHigher is better +8.92
149.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 173.08
57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
12.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 9.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.3 / 15
Prediction separation6.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
58.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
42.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Atletico Nacional
L · 93-80W · 92-53W · 69-81L · 77-83W · 83-90
San Simon
L · 86-90L · 71-78L · 67-70W · 71-86W · 81-80

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.06.30San Simon89 : 84Atletico Nacional
2023.04.26Atletico Nacional84 : 72San Simon