LIVE 12 오늘 245경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

Division Intermedia Paraguay · Regular Season - 26
TacuaryHOME · 3.04
2 : 12026.09.26 · 종료
Benjamín AcevalAWAY · 1.96
HOME · 현재 순위 16위 승점 21 · 25경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 4위 승점 42 · 25경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME14.2%
DRAW18.7%
AWAY67.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH82 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100
AI PICK AWAY 45.9% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +21.6%
VALUE EDGE+21.6%
FAIR ODDS1.49
GRADES
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM AWAY -18.9%p
HOME_AWAY AWAY -25.0%p
LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p
STANDING_PPG AWAY -40.5%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -11.9%p
INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p
• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE
Tacuary분석 지표Benjamín Aceval
8.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%
0.67 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.25
1.50 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.83
14.3% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%
6.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.7일
API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

82/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본7.0 / 10
모델 일치도9.4 / 15
예측 분리도15.0 / 15
데이터 신선도10.0 / 10
종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME29.3%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승33.8%표본 77경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승46.8%현재 이동 -12.4%
OPEN → NOW3.47 → 3.04배당 업데이트 2026-09-26 20:43:49

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
14.2%
DRAW
18.7%
AWAY
67.1%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Tacuary
D · 0-0L · 1-2D · 1-1L · 0-3L · 0-1
Benjamín Aceval
W · 2-1L · 1-3L · 2-0D · 1-1W · 1-3

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+16.0%+8.0%0.0%-8.0%-16.0%09/25 12:1509/26 08:0209/26 12:0209/26 18:4209/26 20:43HOME · 배당 3.48 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-25 12:15:22HOME · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.52% · 2026-09-26 00:22:34HOME · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.52% · 2026-09-26 00:42:28HOME · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.52% · 2026-09-26 01:02:38HOME · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.52% · 2026-09-26 04:32:16HOME · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.52% · 2026-09-26 05:02:16HOME · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.52% · 2026-09-26 05:32:15HOME · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.52% · 2026-09-26 06:02:16HOME · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.52% · 2026-09-26 06:32:15HOME · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.52% · 2026-09-26 07:02:16HOME · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.52% · 2026-09-26 07:32:14HOME · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.63% · 2026-09-26 08:02:17HOME · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.63% · 2026-09-26 08:32:17HOME · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.63% · 2026-09-26 09:02:18HOME · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.63% · 2026-09-26 09:32:15HOME · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.63% · 2026-09-26 09:32:17HOME · 배당 3.45 · 변동 -0.86% · 2026-09-26 10:02:17HOME · 배당 3.47 · 변동 -0.29% · 2026-09-26 10:02:18HOME · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.63% · 2026-09-26 10:02:20HOME · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.63% · 2026-09-26 10:32:17HOME · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.63% · 2026-09-26 10:32:20HOME · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.63% · 2026-09-26 11:02:20HOME · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.63% · 2026-09-26 11:32:19HOME · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.63% · 2026-09-26 12:02:19HOME · 배당 3.18 · 변동 -8.66% · 2026-09-26 12:32:20HOME · 배당 3.18 · 변동 -8.66% · 2026-09-26 13:02:17HOME · 배당 3.15 · 변동 -9.48% · 2026-09-26 13:32:19HOME · 배당 3.35 · 변동 -3.74% · 2026-09-26 13:32:20HOME · 배당 3.18 · 변동 -8.66% · 2026-09-26 14:02:20HOME · 배당 3.18 · 변동 -8.66% · 2026-09-26 14:32:20HOME · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -6.61% · 2026-09-26 15:02:20HOME · 배당 3.15 · 변동 -9.48% · 2026-09-26 15:02:21HOME · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -12.44% · 2026-09-26 18:12:23HOME · 배당 3.04 · 변동 -12.60% · 2026-09-26 18:12:24HOME · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -12.44% · 2026-09-26 18:42:22HOME · 배당 3.04 · 변동 -12.60% · 2026-09-26 18:42:23HOME · 배당 2.99 · 변동 -14.08% · 2026-09-26 19:12:23HOME · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -12.26% · 2026-09-26 19:12:24HOME · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -12.44% · 2026-09-26 19:43:33HOME · 배당 3.04 · 변동 -12.60% · 2026-09-26 19:43:34HOME · 배당 3.01 · 변동 -13.41% · 2026-09-26 20:14:29HOME · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -6.61% · 2026-09-26 20:14:30HOME · 배당 3.02 · 변동 -13.36% · 2026-09-26 20:14:31HOME · 배당 3.20 · 변동 -8.05% · 2026-09-26 20:14:32HOME · 배당 2.99 · 변동 -14.22% · 2026-09-26 20:43:48HOME · 배당 3.12 · 변동 -10.44% · 2026-09-26 20:43:49DRAW · 배당 3.38 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-25 12:15:22DRAW · 배당 3.35 · 변동 -0.83% · 2026-09-26 00:22:34DRAW · 배당 3.35 · 변동 -0.83% · 2026-09-26 00:42:28DRAW · 배당 3.35 · 변동 -0.83% · 2026-09-26 01:02:38DRAW · 배당 3.35 · 변동 -0.83% · 2026-09-26 04:32:16DRAW · 배당 3.35 · 변동 -0.83% · 2026-09-26 05:02:16DRAW · 배당 3.35 · 변동 -0.83% · 2026-09-26 05:32:15DRAW · 배당 3.35 · 변동 -0.83% · 2026-09-26 06:02:16DRAW · 배당 3.35 · 변동 -0.83% · 2026-09-26 06:32:15DRAW · 배당 3.35 · 변동 -0.83% · 2026-09-26 07:02:16DRAW · 배당 3.35 · 변동 -0.83% · 2026-09-26 07:32:14DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 -1.07% · 2026-09-26 08:02:17DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 -1.07% · 2026-09-26 08:32:17DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 -1.07% · 2026-09-26 09:02:18DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 -1.07% · 2026-09-26 09:32:15DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 -1.07% · 2026-09-26 09:32:17DRAW · 배당 3.37 · 변동 -0.28% · 2026-09-26 10:02:17DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -2.25% · 2026-09-26 10:02:18DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 -1.07% · 2026-09-26 10:02:20DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 -1.07% · 2026-09-26 10:32:17DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 -1.07% · 2026-09-26 10:32:20DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 -1.07% · 2026-09-26 11:02:20DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 -1.07% · 2026-09-26 11:32:19DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 -1.07% · 2026-09-26 12:02:19DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 -5.13% · 2026-09-26 12:32:20DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 -5.13% · 2026-09-26 13:02:17DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 -5.36% · 2026-09-26 13:32:19DRAW · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -3.73% · 2026-09-26 13:32:20DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 -5.13% · 2026-09-26 14:02:20DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 -5.13% · 2026-09-26 14:32:20DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 -1.66% · 2026-09-26 15:02:20DRAW · 배당 3.16 · 변동 -6.52% · 2026-09-26 15:02:21DRAW · 배당 3.31 · 변동 -2.08% · 2026-09-26 18:12:23DRAW · 배당 3.52 · 변동 +4.22% · 2026-09-26 18:12:24DRAW · 배당 3.31 · 변동 -2.08% · 2026-09-26 18:42:22DRAW · 배당 3.52 · 변동 +4.22% · 2026-09-26 18:42:23DRAW · 배당 3.42 · 변동 +1.30% · 2026-09-26 19:12:23DRAW · 배당 3.41 · 변동 +1.03% · 2026-09-26 19:12:24DRAW · 배당 3.31 · 변동 -2.08% · 2026-09-26 19:43:33DRAW · 배당 3.52 · 변동 +4.22% · 2026-09-26 19:43:34DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -2.30% · 2026-09-26 20:14:29DRAW · 배당 3.35 · 변동 -0.77% · 2026-09-26 20:14:30DRAW · 배당 3.50 · 변동 +3.57% · 2026-09-26 20:14:31DRAW · 배당 3.65 · 변동 +8.12% · 2026-09-26 20:14:32DRAW · 배당 3.49 · 변동 +3.23% · 2026-09-26 20:43:48DRAW · 배당 3.56 · 변동 +5.55% · 2026-09-26 20:43:49AWAY · 배당 1.91 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-25 12:15:22AWAY · 배당 1.92 · 변동 +0.52% · 2026-09-26 00:22:34AWAY · 배당 1.92 · 변동 +0.52% · 2026-09-26 00:42:28AWAY · 배당 1.92 · 변동 +0.52% · 2026-09-26 01:02:38AWAY · 배당 1.92 · 변동 +0.52% · 2026-09-26 04:32:16AWAY · 배당 1.92 · 변동 +0.52% · 2026-09-26 05:02:16AWAY · 배당 1.92 · 변동 +0.52% · 2026-09-26 05:32:15AWAY · 배당 1.92 · 변동 +0.52% · 2026-09-26 06:02:16AWAY · 배당 1.92 · 변동 +0.52% · 2026-09-26 06:32:15AWAY · 배당 1.92 · 변동 +0.52% · 2026-09-26 07:02:16AWAY · 배당 1.92 · 변동 +0.52% · 2026-09-26 07:32:14AWAY · 배당 1.93 · 변동 +0.73% · 2026-09-26 08:02:17AWAY · 배당 1.93 · 변동 +0.73% · 2026-09-26 08:32:17AWAY · 배당 1.93 · 변동 +0.73% · 2026-09-26 09:02:18AWAY · 배당 1.93 · 변동 +0.73% · 2026-09-26 09:32:15AWAY · 배당 1.93 · 변동 +0.73% · 2026-09-26 09:32:17AWAY · 배당 1.91 · 변동 -0.38% · 2026-09-26 10:02:17AWAY · 배당 1.96 · 변동 +2.40% · 2026-09-26 10:02:18AWAY · 배당 1.93 · 변동 +0.73% · 2026-09-26 10:02:20AWAY · 배당 1.93 · 변동 +0.73% · 2026-09-26 10:32:17AWAY · 배당 1.93 · 변동 +0.73% · 2026-09-26 10:32:20AWAY · 배당 1.93 · 변동 +0.73% · 2026-09-26 11:02:20AWAY · 배당 1.93 · 변동 +0.73% · 2026-09-26 11:32:19AWAY · 배당 1.93 · 변동 +0.73% · 2026-09-26 12:02:19AWAY · 배당 2.02 · 변동 +5.39% · 2026-09-26 12:32:20AWAY · 배당 2.02 · 변동 +5.39% · 2026-09-26 13:02:17AWAY · 배당 2.01 · 변동 +4.93% · 2026-09-26 13:32:19AWAY · 배당 2.07 · 변동 +8.15% · 2026-09-26 13:32:20AWAY · 배당 2.02 · 변동 +5.39% · 2026-09-26 14:02:20AWAY · 배당 2.02 · 변동 +5.39% · 2026-09-26 14:32:20AWAY · 배당 1.97 · 변동 +2.93% · 2026-09-26 15:02:20AWAY · 배당 2.04 · 변동 +6.37% · 2026-09-26 15:02:21AWAY · 배당 2.03 · 변동 +5.84% · 2026-09-26 18:12:23AWAY · 배당 1.95 · 변동 +1.96% · 2026-09-26 18:12:24AWAY · 배당 2.03 · 변동 +5.84% · 2026-09-26 18:42:22AWAY · 배당 1.95 · 변동 +1.96% · 2026-09-26 18:42:23AWAY · 배당 2.03 · 변동 +6.06% · 2026-09-26 19:12:23AWAY · 배당 1.98 · 변동 +3.54% · 2026-09-26 19:12:24AWAY · 배당 2.03 · 변동 +5.84% · 2026-09-26 19:43:33AWAY · 배당 1.95 · 변동 +1.96% · 2026-09-26 19:43:34AWAY · 배당 2.02 · 변동 +5.45% · 2026-09-26 20:14:29AWAY · 배당 2.07 · 변동 +8.15% · 2026-09-26 20:14:30AWAY · 배당 1.95 · 변동 +1.71% · 2026-09-26 20:14:31AWAY · 배당 1.98 · 변동 +3.45% · 2026-09-26 20:14:32AWAY · 배당 1.94 · 변동 +1.10% · 2026-09-26 20:43:48AWAY · 배당 1.97 · 변동 +3.10% · 2026-09-26 20:43:49
HOME46 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.48
→
CURRENT3.12
-10.44%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW46 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.38
→
CURRENT3.56
+5.55%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY46 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN1.91
→
CURRENT1.97
+3.10%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-09-25 12:15:223.483.381.91
2026-09-26 00:22:343.463.351.92
2026-09-26 00:42:283.463.351.92
2026-09-26 01:02:383.463.351.92
2026-09-26 04:32:163.463.351.92
2026-09-26 05:02:163.463.351.92
2026-09-26 05:32:153.463.351.92
2026-09-26 06:02:163.463.351.92
2026-09-26 06:32:153.463.351.92
2026-09-26 07:02:163.463.351.92
2026-09-26 07:32:143.463.351.92
2026-09-26 08:02:173.463.341.93
2026-09-26 08:32:173.463.341.93
2026-09-26 09:02:183.463.341.93
2026-09-26 09:32:153.463.341.93
2026-09-26 09:32:173.463.341.93
2026-09-26 10:02:173.453.371.91
2026-09-26 10:02:183.473.301.96
2026-09-26 10:02:203.463.341.93
2026-09-26 10:32:173.463.341.93
2026-09-26 10:32:203.463.341.93
2026-09-26 11:02:203.463.341.93
2026-09-26 11:32:193.463.341.93
2026-09-26 12:02:193.463.341.93
2026-09-26 12:32:203.183.202.02
2026-09-26 13:02:173.183.202.02
2026-09-26 13:32:193.153.202.01
2026-09-26 13:32:203.353.252.07
2026-09-26 14:02:203.183.202.02
2026-09-26 14:32:203.183.202.02
2026-09-26 15:02:203.253.321.97
2026-09-26 15:02:213.153.162.04
2026-09-26 18:12:233.053.312.03
2026-09-26 18:12:243.043.521.95
2026-09-26 18:42:223.053.312.03
2026-09-26 18:42:233.043.521.95
2026-09-26 19:12:232.993.422.03
2026-09-26 19:12:243.053.411.98
2026-09-26 19:43:333.053.312.03
2026-09-26 19:43:343.043.521.95
2026-09-26 20:14:293.013.302.02
2026-09-26 20:14:303.253.352.07
2026-09-26 20:14:313.023.501.95
2026-09-26 20:14:323.203.651.98
2026-09-26 20:43:482.993.491.94
2026-09-26 20:43:493.123.561.97

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.09.26Tacuary2 : 1Benjamín Aceval
2026.06.06Benjamín Aceval3 : 2Tacuary