LIVE 8 오늘 301경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기
Emperor Cup Japan · Round of 32
Shimizu S-pulseHOME · 2.14
2 : 12026.10.07 · 종료
V-varen NagasakiAWAY · 3.10
HOME · 현재 순위 -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME29.6%
DRAW35.6%
AWAY34.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH84 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100
AI PICK DRAW 32.5% CAL
VALUE PICK DRAW +7.4%
VALUE EDGE+7.4%
FAIR ODDS2.81
GRADEA
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 70/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +23.7%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +11.1%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -9.4%p
INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p
H2H EVEN +0.0%p
REST EVEN +0.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE
Shimizu S-pulse분석 지표V-varen Nagasaki
50.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 41.7%
1.42 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.25
1.25 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.58
42.9% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%
8.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 8.0일
API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

84/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본10.0 / 10
모델 일치도8.5 / 15
예측 분리도0.3 / 15
데이터 신선도10.0 / 10
종목 핵심정보2.0 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME42.5%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승43.4%표본 198경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승47.0%현재 이동 -0.5%
OPEN → NOW2.15 → 2.14배당 업데이트 2026-10-07 17:02:12

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
29.6%
DRAW
35.6%
AWAY
34.8%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Shimizu S-pulse
W · 0-2W · 2-1W · 1-0L · 3-1D · 1-1
V-varen Nagasaki
L · 2-0D · 1-1W · 2-0W · 0-1L · 3-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+8.0%+4.0%0.0%-4.0%-8.0%10/07 09:0210/07 10:5210/07 13:1210/07 15:0210/07 17:02HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-07 09:02:09HOME · 배당 2.17 · 변동 +4.39% · 2026-10-07 09:02:10HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.13% · 2026-10-07 09:12:10HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.13% · 2026-10-07 09:22:13HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.13% · 2026-10-07 09:32:12HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.13% · 2026-10-07 09:42:11HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.13% · 2026-10-07 09:52:14HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.13% · 2026-10-07 10:02:11HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.13% · 2026-10-07 10:12:10HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 +1.57% · 2026-10-07 10:22:11HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 +5.22% · 2026-10-07 10:22:12HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.13% · 2026-10-07 10:32:11HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 10:42:11HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 10:52:12HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 11:02:12HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 11:12:11HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 11:22:13HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 11:32:14HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 11:42:12HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 11:52:14HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 12:02:13HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 12:12:11HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 12:22:12HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 12:32:11HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 12:42:10HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 12:52:12HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 13:02:14HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 13:12:13HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 13:22:16HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 13:32:20HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 13:42:14HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 13:52:15HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 +1.69% · 2026-10-07 14:02:15HOME · 배당 2.17 · 변동 +4.58% · 2026-10-07 14:02:16HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-07 14:12:15HOME · 배당 2.17 · 변동 +4.67% · 2026-10-07 14:12:16HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 14:22:14HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 14:32:16HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 14:42:25HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 14:52:15HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 15:02:18HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 15:12:12HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 15:22:13HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 15:32:13HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 15:42:11HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 15:52:12HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 16:02:10HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 16:12:11HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 +1.69% · 2026-10-07 16:22:12HOME · 배당 2.17 · 변동 +4.58% · 2026-10-07 16:22:13HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.34% · 2026-10-07 16:32:13HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.13% · 2026-10-07 16:42:10HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.13% · 2026-10-07 16:52:13HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +3.13% · 2026-10-07 17:02:12DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-07 09:02:09DRAW · 배당 3.21 · 변동 +3.68% · 2026-10-07 09:02:10DRAW · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +2.63% · 2026-10-07 09:12:10DRAW · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +2.63% · 2026-10-07 09:22:13DRAW · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +2.63% · 2026-10-07 09:32:12DRAW · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +2.63% · 2026-10-07 09:42:11DRAW · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +2.63% · 2026-10-07 09:52:14DRAW · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +2.63% · 2026-10-07 10:02:11DRAW · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +2.63% · 2026-10-07 10:12:10DRAW · 배당 3.16 · 변동 +2.02% · 2026-10-07 10:22:11DRAW · 배당 3.21 · 변동 +3.44% · 2026-10-07 10:22:12DRAW · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +2.63% · 2026-10-07 10:32:11DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 10:42:11DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 10:52:12DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 11:02:12DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 11:12:11DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 11:22:13DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 11:32:14DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 11:42:12DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 11:52:14DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 12:02:13DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 12:12:11DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 12:22:12DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 12:32:11DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 12:42:10DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 12:52:12DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 13:02:14DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 13:12:13DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 13:22:16DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 13:32:20DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 13:42:14DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 13:52:15DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 +1.08% · 2026-10-07 14:02:15DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 +4.27% · 2026-10-07 14:02:16DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-07 14:12:15DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 +4.06% · 2026-10-07 14:12:16DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 14:22:14DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 14:32:16DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 14:42:25DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 14:52:15DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 15:02:18DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 15:12:12DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 15:22:13DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 15:32:13DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 15:42:11DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 15:52:12DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 16:02:10DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 16:12:11DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 +1.08% · 2026-10-07 16:22:12DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 +4.27% · 2026-10-07 16:22:13DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +2.90% · 2026-10-07 16:32:13DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 +3.15% · 2026-10-07 16:42:10DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 +3.15% · 2026-10-07 16:52:13DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 +3.15% · 2026-10-07 17:02:12AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-07 09:02:09AWAY · 배당 3.22 · 변동 +5.44% · 2026-10-07 09:02:10AWAY · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +3.89% · 2026-10-07 09:12:10AWAY · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +3.89% · 2026-10-07 09:22:13AWAY · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +3.89% · 2026-10-07 09:32:12AWAY · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +3.89% · 2026-10-07 09:42:11AWAY · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +3.89% · 2026-10-07 09:52:14AWAY · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +3.89% · 2026-10-07 10:02:11AWAY · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +3.89% · 2026-10-07 10:12:10AWAY · 배당 3.10 · 변동 +1.64% · 2026-10-07 10:22:11AWAY · 배당 3.26 · 변동 +6.89% · 2026-10-07 10:22:12AWAY · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +3.89% · 2026-10-07 10:32:11AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 10:42:11AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 10:52:12AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 11:02:12AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 11:12:11AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 11:22:13AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 11:32:14AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 11:42:12AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 11:52:14AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 12:02:13AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 12:12:11AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 12:22:12AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 12:32:11AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 12:42:10AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 12:52:12AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 13:02:14AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 13:12:13AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 13:22:16AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 13:32:20AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 13:42:14AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 13:52:15AWAY · 배당 3.10 · 변동 +1.64% · 2026-10-07 14:02:15AWAY · 배당 3.24 · 변동 +6.07% · 2026-10-07 14:02:16AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-07 14:12:15AWAY · 배당 3.23 · 변동 +5.84% · 2026-10-07 14:12:16AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 14:22:14AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 14:32:16AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 14:42:25AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 14:52:15AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 15:02:18AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 15:12:12AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 15:22:13AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 15:32:13AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 15:42:11AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 15:52:12AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 16:02:10AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 16:12:11AWAY · 배당 3.10 · 변동 +1.64% · 2026-10-07 16:22:12AWAY · 배당 3.24 · 변동 +6.07% · 2026-10-07 16:22:13AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +4.17% · 2026-10-07 16:32:13AWAY · 배당 3.11 · 변동 +2.09% · 2026-10-07 16:42:10AWAY · 배당 3.11 · 변동 +2.09% · 2026-10-07 16:52:13AWAY · 배당 3.11 · 변동 +2.09% · 2026-10-07 17:02:12
HOME54 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.08
→
CURRENT2.14
+3.13%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW54 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.10
→
CURRENT3.20
+3.15%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY54 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.05
→
CURRENT3.11
+2.09%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-10-07 09:02:092.083.103.05
2026-10-07 09:02:102.173.213.22
2026-10-07 09:12:102.143.183.17
2026-10-07 09:22:132.143.183.17
2026-10-07 09:32:122.143.183.17
2026-10-07 09:42:112.143.183.17
2026-10-07 09:52:142.143.183.17
2026-10-07 10:02:112.143.183.17
2026-10-07 10:12:102.143.183.17
2026-10-07 10:22:112.113.163.10
2026-10-07 10:22:122.183.213.26
2026-10-07 10:32:112.143.183.17
2026-10-07 10:42:112.143.193.18
2026-10-07 10:52:122.143.193.18
2026-10-07 11:02:122.143.193.18
2026-10-07 11:12:112.143.193.18
2026-10-07 11:22:132.143.193.18
2026-10-07 11:32:142.143.193.18
2026-10-07 11:42:122.143.193.18
2026-10-07 11:52:142.143.193.18
2026-10-07 12:02:132.143.193.18
2026-10-07 12:12:112.143.193.18
2026-10-07 12:22:122.143.193.18
2026-10-07 12:32:112.143.193.18
2026-10-07 12:42:102.143.193.18
2026-10-07 12:52:122.143.193.18
2026-10-07 13:02:142.143.193.18
2026-10-07 13:12:132.143.193.18
2026-10-07 13:22:162.143.193.18
2026-10-07 13:32:202.143.193.18
2026-10-07 13:42:142.143.193.18
2026-10-07 13:52:152.143.193.18
2026-10-07 14:02:152.113.133.10
2026-10-07 14:02:162.173.233.24
2026-10-07 14:12:152.083.103.05
2026-10-07 14:12:162.173.233.23
2026-10-07 14:22:142.143.193.18
2026-10-07 14:32:162.143.193.18
2026-10-07 14:42:252.143.193.18
2026-10-07 14:52:152.143.193.18
2026-10-07 15:02:182.143.193.18
2026-10-07 15:12:122.143.193.18
2026-10-07 15:22:132.143.193.18
2026-10-07 15:32:132.143.193.18
2026-10-07 15:42:112.143.193.18
2026-10-07 15:52:122.143.193.18
2026-10-07 16:02:102.143.193.18
2026-10-07 16:12:112.143.193.18
2026-10-07 16:22:122.113.133.10
2026-10-07 16:22:132.173.233.24
2026-10-07 16:32:132.143.193.18
2026-10-07 16:42:102.143.203.11
2026-10-07 16:52:132.143.203.11
2026-10-07 17:02:122.143.203.11

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.10.07Shimizu S-pulse2 : 1V-varen Nagasaki
2026.04.29Shimizu S-pulse1 : 2V-varen Nagasaki
2026.04.05V-varen Nagasaki0 : 3Shimizu S-pulse