Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
EuroMillions Basketball League
Belgium · EuroMillions Basketball League - Semi-finals
Belfius MonsHOME · -
77 : 652014.05.27 · 종료
Okapi AalstarAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 58.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.9%
VALUE EDGE+61.9%
FAIR ODDS1.61
GRADEA
Belfius MonsAnalysis MetricsOkapi Aalstar
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-11.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.67
158.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
154.17
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.8 / 15
Prediction separation10.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Belfius Mons
W · 91-98L · 74-79W · 76-100L · 69-67W · 71-66
Okapi Aalstar
L · 91-98W · 74-79W · 80-91W · 83-79L · 65-48
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.05.13 | Belfius Mons | 87 : 108 | Okapi Aalstar |
| 2016.01.16 | Okapi Aalstar | 72 : 78 | Belfius Mons |
| 2015.10.18 | Belfius Mons | 84 : 78 | Okapi Aalstar |
| 2015.05.22 | Belfius Mons | 83 : 66 | Okapi Aalstar |
| 2015.05.19 | Okapi Aalstar | 96 : 61 | Belfius Mons |
| 2015.05.17 | Belfius Mons | 81 : 73 | Okapi Aalstar |
| 2015.05.15 | Okapi Aalstar | 65 : 69 | Belfius Mons |
| 2015.03.15 | Belfius Mons | 79 : 73 | Okapi Aalstar |
| 2015.02.08 | Belfius Mons | 72 : 68 | Okapi Aalstar |
| 2014.11.16 | Okapi Aalstar | 88 : 75 | Belfius Mons |