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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

EuroMillions Basketball League Belgium · 36
Okapi AalstarHOME · -
81 : 682014.05.11 · 종료
MechelenAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME81.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY18.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK HOME 82.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +81.6%
VALUE EDGE+81.6%
FAIR ODDS1.23
GRADEA
Okapi AalstarAnalysis MetricsMechelen
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
+1.67 Point MarginHigher is better -10.50
154.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 174.33
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
81.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
18.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Okapi Aalstar
L · 80-67L · 71-66W · 110-98W · 74-65W · 64-81
Mechelen
L · 79-103L · 99-54L · 73-84L · 55-91L · 116-87

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.02.28Mechelen82 : 89Okapi Aalstar
2015.11.21Okapi Aalstar70 : 77Mechelen
2015.02.22Okapi Aalstar92 : 83Mechelen
2014.11.30Mechelen82 : 71Okapi Aalstar
2014.05.11Okapi Aalstar81 : 68Mechelen
2014.04.03Mechelen84 : 75Okapi Aalstar
2014.02.01Mechelen62 : 81Okapi Aalstar
2013.11.23Okapi Aalstar78 : 80Mechelen